CPI inflation jumps in Jun. to 2.7% annual rate
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While pundits looked with their magnifying glasses for tariffs in consumer goods prices, it was in services, which are not tariffed, where inflation took off again.
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Inflation in June showed scattered signs of rising costs tied to the Trump tariffs, but Americans simply aren’t paying sharply higher prices because of U.S. trade wars. Here are four things we learned from the latest consumer-price index report.
Tech led US stocks on Tuesday as a key consumer inflation print showed inflation accelerated in June, big banks kicked off earnings season, and Nvidia was set to receive a green light for trade with China from the Trump administration.
Both the S&P 500 (.SPX) and Nasdaq (.IXIC) - and by extension, MSCI's world equities index (.MIWD00000PUS) - retreated from record peaks after traders shaved back bets of U.S. rate cuts this year as prices rose for things such as coffee and couches, while staying steady for tariff-exempted (for now) items such as cars.
Services inflation, especially rent and shelter inflation, continued to decline, offsetting rising core goods inflation that may be influenced by tariffs, Steve Hou, a quant researcher at Bloomberg, said in a Tuesday post on X.
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Stocks tiptoed toward fresh highs, then got cold feet. A glimmer of hope from Nvidia’s China chip sales briefly lit the room, but cooler-than-hoped inflation doused the mood.
The Canadian dollar edged lower against its U.S. counterpart on Tuesday, but the loonie declined less than the other Group of 10 currencies as domestic inflation data reduced expectations for Bank of Canada interest rate cuts.
Consumer prices posted the biggest increase in June in five months and are likely to keep the Federal Reserve from cutting interest rates soon, but there only scattered signs of tariff-related inflation.